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학술지 A Dynamic Feasibility Analysis of Public Investment Projects: An Integrated Approach Using System Dynamics and Agent-Based Modeling
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저자
조해진, 이학연, 서용윤, 김지은, 박용태
발행일
201511
출처
International Journal of Project Management, v.33 no.8, pp.1863-1876
ISSN
0263-7863
출판사
Elsevier
DOI
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2015.07.002
협약과제
15MR3700, (통합)모바일 빅뱅 시대의 주파수 효율 개선 핵심 기술 개발, 최형도
초록
Increasingly, public sector investment projects face a dynamic environment that incorporates both macroscopic system and microscopic individuals. Prior attempts to analyze the feasibility of those projects, however, have been subject to limitations in accommodating such environmental changes. As a remedial measure, the combination of system dynamics (SD) and agent-based modeling (ABM) is proposed due to their complementary strengths. Consequently, this paper suggests a new approach to dynamic feasibility analysis for public investment projects through an integrated simulation model using SD and ABM. The former SD part elucidates the relationships among system elements that constitute project's benefits and costs, while the latter ABM part depicts users' emergent behavior with their heterogeneity. A bridge construction case study demonstrates the applicability of the proposed approach. The findings show that the proposed approach can provide a valuable and flexible framework for analyzing project feasibility in a dynamic environment.
키워드
Agent-based modeling, Dynamic feasibility, Integrated approach, Public investment projects, System dynamics
KSP 제안 키워드
Agent-Based Modeling, Case studies, Dynamic Environment, Emergent Behavior, Environmental change, Flexible framework, Investment projects, New approach, Public Sector, Public investment, Remedial measure