국방기술기획은 기술수요조사와 제안된 과제의 평가를 정량적 데이터에 의해 컴퓨터로 관리하면서, 각종 의사결정 지원 모델에 의해 분석정보를 산출하므로 종전의 직관적 기술기획을 한 단계 발전시키는 새로운 기획방법으로 주목을 받는다. 그러나, 새로운 국방기술기획에 필요한 프로세스, 데이터베이스 구조설계, 통계 및 분석 자료의 형태, 의사결정지원 모델 등에 대한 연구는 여전히 부족한 상태이다. 본 연구에서는 현재 진행 중인 국내외 국가연구개발을 위해 실시되고 있는 기술예측, 기술수요조사, 기술수준조사의 현황을 파악하여, 통합적 관점에서 국방기술수요조사와 국방기술기획 프로세스를 정립하였다. 또한, 국방핵심기술과 국방기술수요조사 시 제안된 과제의 우선순위를 평가하기 위한 ‘Risk-Return 모델’을 제안하여 구현성을 확인하였다.
KSP Keywords
Risk-return
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