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학술지 A Dynamic Manpower Forecasting Model for the Information Security Industry
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저자
박상현, 이상문, 윤성노, 연승준
발행일
200803
출처
Industrial Management & Data Systems, v.103 no.3, pp.368-384
ISSN
0263-5577
출판사
Emerald Group
DOI
https://dx.doi.org/10.1108/02635570810858778
협약과제
08ME1800, 방송통신융합기반 미래전략체계연구, 연승준
초록
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to develop an integrated model for manpower forecasting for the information security (IS) industry, one of the fastest growing IT-related industries. The proposed model incorporates three critical factors (feedback structure, time lags, and a flexible saturation point) in a system dynamics (SD) simulation frame. Design/methodology/approach - A simulation model using SD is developed for a dynamic manpower forecasting by decomposing complex processes of manpower planning into a set of feedback loops with a causal-loop diagram. Data gathered from a Korean Government agency were utilized in the simulation for forecasting the manpower demand and supply in the context of the IS industry. Findings - The simulation results showed an overall IS manpower shortage in the IS industry. Policy alternatives were proposed based on the simulation results. The simulation model was rerun to reflect the various alternatives to achieve a stable manpower balance between demand and supply. Originality/value - The research provides insights into the development of effective manpower planning at the industry level (macro level), and policies to increase its efficiency and effectiveness. The research model was developed and verified using SD. © Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
KSP 제안 키워드
Critical factors, Demand and supply, Feedback Loop, Integrated models, Its efficiency, Manpower planning, Proposed model, Simulation Model, System dynamics(SD), Time-lag, efficiency and effectiveness