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Journal Article 중소유통기업지원을 위한 상품 카테고리 재분류 기반의 수요예측 및 상품추천 방법론 개발
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Authors
이상일, 유영웅, 나동길
Issue Date
2024-06
Citation
한국산업경영시스템학회지, v.47, no.2, pp.155-167
ISSN
2005-0461
Publisher
한국산업경영시스템학회
Language
Korean
Type
Journal Article
DOI
https://dx.doi.org/10.11627/jksie.2024.47.2.155
Abstract
Distribution and logistics industries contribute some of the biggest GDP(gross domestic product) in South Korea and the number of related companies are quarter of the total number of industries in the country. The number of retail tech companies are quickly increased due to the acceleration of the online and untact shopping trend. Furthermore, major distribution and logistics companies try to achieve integrated data management with the fulfillment process. In contrast, small and medium distribution companies still lack of the capacity and ability to develop digital innovation and smartization. Therefore, in this paper, a deep learning-based demand forecasting & recommendation model is proposed to improve business competitiveness. The proposed model is developed based on real sales transaction data to predict future demand for each product. The proposed model consists of six deep learning models, which are MLP(multi-layers perception), CNN(convolution neural network), RNN(recurrent neural network), LSTM(long short term memory), Conv1D-BiLSTM(convolution-long short term memory) for demand forecasting and collaborative filtering for the recommendation. Each model provides the best prediction result for each product and recommendation model can recommend best sales product among companies own sales list as well as competitor’s item list. The proposed demand forecasting model is expected to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium-sized distribution and logistics industry.
KSP Keywords
Business competitiveness, Collaborative filtering(CF), Convolution neural network(CNN), Data Management, Demand forecasting model, Digital innovation, Distribution companies, Gross domestic product, Integrated data, Learning-based, Long-short term memory(LSTM)